Sunday, October 30, 2011

No picks

Unfortunately, due to lack of power, I cannot write my picks blog today or watch the Giants game.
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Sunday, October 23, 2011

Week 7

The only week I don't have to stress about the Giants getting a win, they have a bye this week. Another solid week for me in picks, there were a few easy games to pick from though. Games will start to get tougher and tougher and we'll see more playoff potential games coming up.

Last Week 9-4
Overall 57-33

Seattle Seahawks(2-3)at Cleveland Browns(2-3)- When we last saw the Seahawks they were getting the upset win over the Giants, thanks to a 99yd INT return with about a minute to go. I think Seattle keeps the momentum going against the Browns and former Seattle coach Mike Holmgren. The Browns have an okay team, the Hawks aren't anything special themselves but I'll give it to them. Seahawks 28-23 winners.

Atlanta Falcons(3-3)at Detroit Lions(5-1)- The Falcons have finally found they're running game, but it happened against a bad Panthers team. The Lions let the 9ers run all over them last week as they lost for the first time this year. I like the Lions to bounce back, they are one of the teams to beat in the NFC. Lions over Falcons 30-28.

Houston Texans(3-3)at Tennessee Titans(3-2)- I guess the Texans aren't the team I thought they would be, but they are being killed by injury. Without Mario Williams they have a big hole on defense. Titans win 23-17.

Denver Broncos(1-4)at Miami Dolphins(0-5)- Big start for Tim Tebow, in fact it is so big that the Dolphins will be honoring him at the stadium. That's right, the Dolphins are encouraging Gators fans to come see their hometown hero Tim Tebow, the QB for their opponent. Miami really wants to blow this season, they want a Hall Of Fame QB again. Tebow leads the Broncos to victory, 26-13.

San Diego Chargers(4-1)at New York Jets(3-3)- Well, Jets Head Coach, Rex Ryan was making outrageous statements again, this time he may be right. Rex 'jokingly' said that if he was Coach of the Chargers he would have won 2 Super Bowls by now. Chargers coach Norv Turner didn't like that at all. The question is, if Rex thinks his team is better than the Chargers then why hasn't he won any Super Bowls yet?? Controversy aside, I like San Diego to win this game. With Gates back and I guess healthy, the Chargers have the middle attack they need to get after the Jets. Also, I don't like the Jets offense this year, they are average at best. This is the kind of game the Jets usually win, but this is not a usual year for the Gang Green. Chargers get the 27-20 win.

Chicago Bears(3-3)at Tampa Bay Buccaneers(4-2)- The Bucs lose a home game this week, not lose the game, but they are the 'home team' for a game that will be played in London. I think this whole thing is stupid. I don't like the NFL in London thing, it is ridiculous and costs one team a home game. Anyway, I'm not sure what to think about this game. The Bucs played well enough to win against the rival Saints last week while the Bears crushed their rivals, the Vikes. Eh, this is anyone's game, but I'll go with the Bears to win in a close sloppy match. Bears 14-10 win.

Washington Redskins(3-2)at Carolina Panthers(1-5)- I don't think the Skins are as good as they think they are. I think the Panthers are better than their record. Panthers to win 29-24.

Kansas City Chiefs(2-3)at Oakland Raiders(4-2)- Carson Palmer will not make his Raider debut just yet. He will take this week off then have the bye to continue to study his playbook and get into sync with the Oakland receivers. I still like Oakland to get a tough win here, I know these divisional games can go either way and are always close but I'm starting to buy into the Raiders as a potential playoff team. Raiders squeak one out 23-21.

Pittsburgh Steelers(4-2)at Arizona Cardinals(1-4)- A not so super Super Bowl rematch. I'm a bit surprised the Cards haven't gotten into a groove yet, but after the shortened offseason I shouldn't be. They have lost a few games on miscues and mistakes. They could play Pittsburgh tough, but I don't think they win. Pittsburgh wins 28-20.

St.Louis Rams(0-5)at Dallas Cowboys(2-3)- I can see the Cowboys going on a bit of a winning streak, starting with a big win against the Bradford-less Rams. Dallas has Philly (who they always play well), Seattle, Buffalo, Washington, Miami, and Arizona coming up before playing the Giants. They could be 8-4 heading into that game which may decide the winner of the NFC East. Anyway, today's game should be no problem for Dallas against a very mistake prone Rams team and did I mention that Dallas is only giving up 69 rushing yards a game? End result? Dallas 31-17.

Green Bay Packers(6-0)at Minnesota Vikings(1-5)- I don't think anyone thinks the Vikes have a chance against the Packers. Neither do I. GB 26-9.

Indianapolis Colts(0-6)at New Orleans Saints(4-2)- Another not so super Super Bowl rematch. I bet NBC wishes they could flex out of this game. Saints over the not so impressive Colts 33-21.

Baltimore Ravens(4-1)at Jacksonville Jaguars(1-5)- Neither night game this week looks to be any good. Skip Monday Night Football too, unless you're a Ravens fan or just like seeing teams get crushed. I do like parts of the Jags defense, but not enough to give them a win. Ravens roll 24-10.

Tuesday, October 18, 2011

Week 6 review

Ok, a little late but better than never....

What I learned in Week 6

The three teams (Atl, Phi, NYJ) that needed a win to save the season all won, not pretty, but they did it.

The 49ers may be for real. I did pick this team to go 11-5 last season but the Head Coach got in the way, so maybe I shouldn't be shocked in the 9ers so far.

The Raiders want to win. Just this afternoon the Raiders gave the Bengals a 2012 1st round pick and a conditional 2013 1st round pick for QB Carson Palmer. The condition for next years pick is the Raiders must win a playoff game, if they don't the Bengals get a 2nd Round Pick.

The Steelers still need to do some work to keep pace with the Ravens and Bengals.

The Dolphins suck.

I'm not picking the Colts any more this year.

The Cowboys are on the verge of going on a tear. Watch them to win a few in a row and challenge to Giants for the NFC East.

The Packers remain the only undefeated team, but didn't look great in the 2nd half against St.Louis

Things can't get much worse for the Vikings.
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Sunday, October 16, 2011

Week 6

I barely made it past .500 last week, but I kept my head above water somehow. I can't wait to do the mid-season re-picks (when I redo my playoff scenarios) will the Lions and Niners be the teams to beat in the NFC? Will the Jets and Eagles fix their seasons and make a playoff run? What a great season this has been so far.

Last Week 8-5
Overall 48-29

Carolina Panthers(1-4)at Atlanta Falcons(2-3)- I love divisional games like this one, both teams are struggling but only one was expected to. I really don't think the Falcons are as good as their record indicated last season, they are missing something they had last year. I still think Matt Ryan is a good QB and could lead this team to the promise land eventually, but not this year. The Panthers have only 1 win, but they are no pushover, with a few tweaks on defense this team could be on the verge on returning to the playoffs in the next three years. I'm also going with Carolina to win this game. Panthers upset the Falcons 26-24.

Indianapolis Colts(0-5)at Cincinnati Bengals(3-2)- The Bengals have already won three more games than I thought they would at this point, and the Colts have won five less. When was the last time the Bengals were favored over the Colts? I'm taking another upset win, and for some reason going with Indy to finally get that win. Colts 20-13.

San Francisco 49ers(4-1)at Detroit Lions(5-0)- Huge playoff implications here, as these teams may be battling for a Wild Card at the end of the year. I'm going with the home team, even though the 9ers have traveled well (2-0 on road). Lions get to 6-0 with a 31-28 win.

St.Louis Rams(0-4)at Green Bay Packers(5-0)- I can't believe the Rams haven't gotten it together yet. No way will they win in Green Bay today, Packers keep pace with the Lions. 33-23 Packers.

Buffalo Bills(4-1)at New York Giants(3-2)- The Giants cannot stop the run, and they can't run the ball on offense. The Bills are going to be missing LB Shawne Merriman, and that will help NY get some run room, but they will be missing RB Brandon Jacobs again. I just don't know on this one, the Bills have beaten some pretty good teams, but then again, how good is Philly? The Giants beat them no problem....Ok, I'm going to go with my team here to get a win after being embarrassed by Seattle last week. Giants hold off Bills 27-24.

Jacksonville Jaguars(1-4)at Pittsburgh Steelers(3-2)- Here's where Pitt can start to right the ship, they should roll over the Jags. 28-14 Pitt.

Philadelphia Eagles(1-4)at Washington Redskins(3-1)- The Skins aren't as good as their record shows, and the Eagles aren't as bad as theirs. The Eagles have been prone to turnovers and have not been able to stop the run. The Redskins will run and run and run all over the Eagles, but that may be all they can do. I'd love to see Philly go 1-15 this year, but it won't happen. Philly gets a needed win 24-21.

Cleveland Browns(2-2)at Oakland Raiders(3-2)- I can't figure out either of these teams, I'm just going with the home team because it will be an emotional homecoming after the passing of Al Davis. Or will there be a big let down after the upset last week?? It is games with these inconsistent teams that are the hardest to pick because one week they'll play like SB contenders and the next get blown out by a crappy team. Take the Raiders 30-23.

Houston Texans(3-2)at Baltimore Ravens(3-1)- I really like the Ravens, I think they have the tools on defense to stop just about any team they want to (except the Pats). At home, the Ravens are hard to beat and they just click so well. Ravens over the Texans 29-24.

Dallas Cowboys(2-2)at New England Patriots(4-1)- The Pats cannot play against the pass, but the Cowboys have an injured Romo still trying to get it done. I like most of the Dallas defense but they are weak at DB. A shootout win for the Pats in a game where defense means nothing. Pats 40-38.

New Orleans Saints(4-1)at Tampa Bay Buccaneers(3-2)- It is tough to go across the country and win, the Bucs have proven that. The Saints, I think, will cruise to win the NFC South and here is another chance to prove that. The Bucs are way better than they showed last week but the Saints are good every week. Saints win on the road in a close one, 24-22.

Minnesota Vikings(1-4)at Chicago Bears(2-3)- This could be the worst Sunday Night Football game this year. Bears slay the Vikes 28-17.

Miami Dolphins(0-4)at New York Jets(2-3)- The Jets have lost three in a row, the Phins are starting Matt Moore at QB.....Jets 30-21 over Miami.

Monday, October 10, 2011

Week 5 review

Here's what we saw and learned in Week 5...

Vick looks like his old self and I love it. Soon he will be waving middle fingers at the home crowd again.

Nothing in the NFL is guaranteed. I locked up a guaranteed win for the Giants and although they almost pulled it out, a 90 yd INT return gave Seattle a big win

Big Ben is getting into a groove, finally.

The Colts stink

Tim Tebow will start next week for Denver

Despite what Rex Ryan says, the Jets are not the best team in the NFL

The city of San Francisco may name Jim Harbaugh as King.

Don't turn your back on the Bills.

And the last thing I learned this week.....

The Raiders are undefeated without Al Davis


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Sunday, October 9, 2011

Week 5

Just getting this in by the 11th hour this week, that's how tired busy I have been. I want to start off with some sad news, Al Davis, the owner of the Oakland/LA/Oakland Raiders has died. I'm sure some Raider fans are glad to see him go, but the old timers are going to miss him and Mr.Davis did mean a lot to the NFL and he is a big part of what the NFL is today. Goodbye Al.

Now, last week was a tough one, there were a few upsets that I thought would happen and didn't and a few upsets I didn't see coming. It is a very strange season so far, the usual way that teams win is with defense, there's an old saying in the NFL "Defense wins Championships" but not this year. There is no truly dominant D and all the top teams have the lowest ranking defenses. The Pats (3-1) rank dead last and the Packers (4-0) are have the 31st ranked pass defense, the Packers have also allowed more plays over 20 yards(15) than any team in the NFL. The Falcons, Saints, Jets and Eagles have been tromped on up the middle and none have generated a pass rush. The Giants are 3-1 and are 18th in pass defense and 21st in rush defense. So, who does lead in all categories? Well, the Cincinnati Bengals are the number one D right now who have allowed only 1,102 yards this season to counter that the Pats have allowed almost 1,500 yards of just passing yards and 1,910 all purpose yards. Very strange....

Last Week 9-7
Overall 40-24


Philadelphia Eagles(1-3)at Buffalo Bills(3-1)- I don't remember the last time a team that was 1-3 was favored over a 3-1 team. I know the Eagles have sucked, and they have lost 3 in a row because of 4th quarter comebacks. In those 3 losses the Eagles have been outscored 36-0 in the 4th quarter. The Bills are a comeback team, and the Eagles may have some real problems handling the quick attack from Fitzpatrick. The Philly LB's have been horrible, they cannot cover the TE, they do not stop the run and Vick has been forced to be the whole show. I really, really like the Bills to win this game, and I am going with my gut. Bills over the struggling Eagles (in comeback style) 30-27.

Kansas City Chiefs(1-3)at Indianapolis Colts(0-4)- All eyes are on Indy right now, the debate about Manning/Luck grows with every loss they take. The Colts have already been labeled as the team to get the #1 pick and have a Joe Montana/Steve Young like scenario play out with Manning and Luck, it could really happen. But, I think both the Colts and Chiefs will be 1-4 by the end of the day. Colts to win (after showing a good effort against the Bucs) 23-17.

Arizona Cardinals(1-3)at Minnesota Vikings(0-4)- The Cards have almost won a few more games this year, they could be 4-0 right now but have suffered the same fate as the Eagles with late collapses. The Vikes?? I don't know, they just suck in general. Cards finish a win out and the Vikes keep the goose egg. 29-21 Cards.

Seattle Seahawks(1-3)at New York Giants(3-1)- In the last two meeting between these teams the Giants have won by a combined score of 85-10. The Hawks have become the Giants punching bag, even in Seattle where NY beat them 41-7 last year, I expect more of the same today. The Seahawks just don't match up with the Giants at all. What the Giants do best the Seahawks cannot counter, and where the Giants are weak the Seahawks are not strong. If I picked the Giants to go 1-15 this year, this would be the one guaranteed win. Giants 27-13.

Tennessee Titans(3-1)at Pittsburgh Steelers(2-2)- Want to talk defense now? The Titans rank 4 the Steelers rank 2 in overall yards. I think the Steelers have some major issues and will have to give 130% to beat the Titans who have come back into the groove in the AFC. With the AFC South wide open because of Manning's injury the Titans are stepping up to the plate and playing some really good football. Call me crazy but I'm buying into it, I am drinking the Titans Kool Aid. Titans 24-20 over the Steelers.

New Orleans Saints(3-1)at Carolina Panthers(1-3)- A shootout? Well, both teams put up silly numbers offensively but neither plays a very good defense. I do give the edge to the Saints who do play better than the Panthers, and I see no upset here. Saints 34-28.

Cincinnati Bengals(2-2)at Jacksonville Jaguars(1-3)- I like Cinci to win. Crazy huh? No Palmer, no Ochocinco or TO, no big names just big games. The Bengals are not going to beat any big teams like Baltimore or New England but they can beat the weak teams if they try. Cinci over Jax 16-13.

Oakland Raiders(2-2)at Houston Texans(3-1)- Win one for the Gipper, right? The Raiders will be playing for Al Davis today, and they have looked like a decent team. The Texans just may be too much for them to handle, offensively. The Raiders do have a very good rushing game, and a good short yardage passing game, but the Texans are no pushover. Raiders keep in close but no cigar 30-21 Texans.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers(3-1)at San Fransisco 49ers(3-1)- A let down game? After going to Philly and upsetting the Eagles do the Niners come home and lay an egg? Nah, I'll go with San Fran to win 24-21.

San Diego Chargers(3-1)at Denver Broncos(1-3)- Chargers. I know, I know, it's early season and it's a divisional game but I'm being crazy today so let's keep it going. Chargers win 20-14.

New York Jets(2-2)at New England Patriots(3-1)- Can the Jets lose 3 in a row? Sure, why not? The Jets have no rushing game so they cannot control the clock, they have no pass rush so they cannot get to Brady, they have no LB's so they cannot cover the TE..oh and then there's Wes Welker who in 4 weeks has 40+ catches and 600+ yards already. Sorry Rex, you are not a Super Bowl contender, Pats 35-24.

Green Bay Packers(4-0)at Atlanta Falcons(2-2)- I really want to pick the Falcons here, but I have a feeling they will not get their revenge on the Packers. Rodgers is playing on a different level than any defense in the NFL. I think the Falcons can make this interesting, and maybe even take a lead into the 4th but I'm going with the Pack in the end. Packers 33-28.

Chicago Bears(2-2)at Detroit Lions(4-0)- Man, do I like the Lions. I do not like the Bears in any way to pull out this win. I know it's a divisional game and anything can happen but the Lions are the real deal. Lions close win 21-20.

Monday, October 3, 2011

Week 4 review

Here's what we saw in Week 4....

The Eagles do not have a dream team. Carrying a 23-3 lead at halftime, at home the Eagles weak LB crew blew it big time. To match, the Eagles had no running attack and things fell apart.

Defense no longer wins games. There have been 15 double digit come from behind wins in the first 4 weeks.

The Bears ran the ball! Cutler was 9-17 and got sacked only once, and the Bears won behind Forte and Barber. Crazy.

The Chargers are better than the Dolphins. Imagine what this team would do with a competent coach.

God prays to Aaron Rodgers before he goes to bed at night.

The Jets stink.

The Vikes stink more.

The Rams stink the most.

The Steelers have some major age issues on defense.

And the last thing I learned this week....

Nobody is going to watch Monday Night Football tonight. Not even Sarge.
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Saturday, October 1, 2011

Week 4

I didn't do too bad last week, I had no problem being wrong with my Philly pick, and I really liked the Raiders to upset the Jets but didn't pick it, arg. I do like an upset or two this week and I will take them this time!

Last Week 9-7
Overall 31-17

Carolina Panthers(1-2)at Chicago Bears(1-2)- The Panthers have been playing better than I thought they would, but I don't think good enough to beat the Bears. They can't rush Cutler like other NFL teams can and that is the way to beat the Bears. Chicago wins close 23-20.

Buffalo Bills(3-0)at Cincinnati Bengals(1-2)- The Bills have become the team to beat and the Bungles are not the team to beat them. No let down for Buffalo. 33-24 Bills.

Tennessee Titans(2-1)at Cleveland Browns(2-1)- Both teams can be hard to handle, both have good running backs, but the Browns have a young QB who isn't great or even good, but he's not bad. Browns 26-19.

Detroit Lions(3-0)at Dallas Cowboys(2-1)- The last time the Lions were 3-0 was 1980. I think they will be 4-0. Romo is playing injured and with the monsters the Lions have on the defensive line, he will most likely leave the game injured even worse. Tough, gritty and possibly an ugly game in Dallas. Lions win 20-14.

Minnesota Vikings(0-3)at Kansas City Chiefs(0-3)- Battle of the winless teams in KC today. Up in the air on this one but....eh, I'll go with KC because they are at home. 28-24 KC

Washington Redskins(2-1)at St.Louis Rams(0-3)- Here is where the struggles for the Rams was supposed to stop, at least until they go to Green Bay next week. I will take the Rams to get their first win at home against the Skins. Rams 24-17.

San Fransisco 49ers(2-1)at Philadelphia Eagles(1-2)- I did not see these teams coming into this game with these records. Both will be .500 by the end of the day. The Niners don't have the motivation the Giants did or the defense to stop the Eagles. Big day for the Eagles running attack leads to a win. 33-20 Eagles.

New Orleans Saints(2-1)at Jacksonville Jaguars(1-2)- Saints will tear them apart and leave not much behind. Saints 30-17.

Pittsburgh Steelers(2-1)at Houston Texans(2-1)- The Steelers didn't look too impressive against the Manning-less Colts last week and I just don't see them going into Houston and getting a win. I'm going with the Texans to battle out a win 27-23.

New York Giants(2-1)at Arizona Cardinals(1-2)- I smell a let down here. I can really see the Giants coming off an emotional win and blowing a game against a less talented team. Arizona QB Kevin Kolb has torn up the Giants D before as a member of the Eagles. Ugh, I really hope I'm wrong but I'm going with the Cards to win 24-20.

Atlanta Falcons(1-2)at Seattle Seahawks(1-2)- I can't figure the scenario where the Seahawks win this game. Falcons 34-21.

Denver Bronos(1-2)at Green Bay Packers(3-0)- Same as above but replace the word Seahawks with Broncos. Packers 38-20.

New England Patriots(2-1)at Oakland Raiders(2-1)- The Pats defense isn't all that great and McFadden can give them trouble. Sometimes I think the Pats quick scoring is a bad thing, it tires out their defense. Either way, the Patriots prevail after a very rare loss to Buffalo. Patriots 30-21.

Miami Dolphins(0-3)at San Diego Chargers(2-1)- Upset. Yes, I am taking the Dolphins to upset the mistake prone Chargers in a tough game. Miami 20-19 wins.

New York Jets(2-1)at Baltimore Ravens(2-1)- Ray Rice will rush for 150 yards as the Ravens steam over the Jets. I just don't think the Jets are that good this year and the defense has been horrid. Ravens win 27-23.

Indianapolis Colts(0-3)at Tampa Bay Buccaneers(2-1)- Another upset. Call me nuts but I am taking the Colts to beat the Bucs on Monday night! No Kerry Collins this week, the Colts are starting Curtis Painter. Do not watch this game, it will be ugly, dirty and low scoring. If you like 3 and outs this will be the game for you, even though the Bucs aren't that bad of a team. Colts get the win 13-7.